Designed to study the benefits and costs of employment and training programs for out-of-school youth and economically disadvantaged adults funded through the 1982 Job Training and Partnership Act (JTPA), the National JTPA Study was a randomized experiment that evaluated 16 local JTPA programs beginning in 1987. The study involved 20,600 participants (both youth and adult). The estimates of the MVPF for JTPA-funded programs reported in Hendren and Sprung-Keyser (2020) are derived from cost-benefit analysis resulting from the National JTPA Study as reported in Table 8 of Bloom et al. (1997). Because of the variety of programs included in the study, Hendren and Sprung-Keyser (2020) compute separate MVPFs for adults and for youths. This pools Bloom et al.’s results for female youths and male youth non-arrestees.
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Bloom et al. (1997) (Table 8) find that earnings for female youth increased by $136, with a wage subsidy of $74, a reduction in welfare benefits of $379, and a program cost (inclusive of the wage subsidy) of $1,466. Male youth non-arrestees, meanwhile, saw a decrease in earnings of $968, a wage subsidy of $100, an increase in welfare benefits of $119, and a program cost of $2,165. Applying the same tax rate used in Bloom et al.’s cost-benefit analysis (12.8%) to the earnings impacts and pooling results for the two youth groups (weighting by each group’s relative sample size) yield a Net Cost estimate of $1,582, a WTP estimate of -$361.4, and a baseline MVPF of -0.23 (95% CI: [-3.73, 1.29]). If participants valued JTPA programs at cost, the corresponding MVPF would be -.23 (95% CI: [-3.48, 1.25]).
Provides No Benefit on Average
Bloom, Howard S., Larry L. Orr, Stephen H. Bell, George Cave, Fred Doolittle, Winston Lin and Johannes M. Bos (1997). “The Benefits and Costs of JTPA Title II-A Programs: Key Findings from the National Job Training Partnership Act Study.” The Journal of Human Resources, 32(3), 549-576. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/146183
Hendren, Nathaniel and Ben Sprung-Keyser (2020). “A Unified Welfare Analysis of Government Policies.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(3): 1209–1318. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjaa006